One day before the start of the electoral ban in Uruguaythe candidates who will compete next Sunday in the runoff Presidential performs campaign closing events. Alvaro Delgadothe candidate for the ruling party, and Yamandú Orsidefiant of the opposition, arrive at the elections in a technical tie scenario, according to the main pollsters.
After the presidential debate on Sunday the 17th, the presidential candidates dedicated their last week to giving some journalistic interviews and making their last tours. The pollsters, meanwhile, publish their latest voting intention studies this week.
The candidates reach this stage after the October elections, in which Orsi – the candidate of the leftist Frente Amplio – obtained 44% of the votes and was the most voted. Delgado – dolphin Luis Lacalle For and of the official National Party– obtained 27% of the votes. However, on election night he announced the formation of a bloc alongside the Colorado Party, Cabildo Abierto, the Independent Party and the Animalist Constitutionalist Party. Added together, they reach 47%.
On Monday the 18th, the consulting firm Cifra broadcast on the news Telemundo Channel 12’s latest voting intention survey. The study, completed just a week before, shows that 42% say they will vote for Orsi, 40% for Delgado. However, there is a fifth who expresses that he still does not know what he will vote for. “There are many voters who are still seeing what they will vote for”concludes the consultant.
Cifra qualifies some of the undecided as closer to one candidate or another, according to their profiles and attitudes. Doing that exercise, Orsi and Delgado would be only one point apart: 47% to 46%. 3% would vote blank or annulled and there are 4% who are “purely” undecided.
“These days, then, are decisive, since both candidates, the parties that support them, the leaders and the militants, have the task of consolidating the voting intention of those who make the preliminary decision and also of convincing those who tend to prefer them. that they are indeed the best option,” says the report.
Cifra estimated that the election, as in 2019, will be “very close” and that the winner will be confirmed when the votes are counted. The director of Cifra, Mariana Pomiesdeclared to the newspaper The Country that the candidates arrive on Sunday with a “situation of great parity” in which it is not known “what is going to happen.”
On election days, pollsters usually give the results of the exit polls at 8:30 p.m. – when the electoral ban is lifted – but, from what the studies show, this will not happen next Sunday. “It seems difficult to me (to know the projections at 8:30 p.m.) unless the difference increases these days since they are almost within the margin of error“said the sociologist.
The director of the consulting firm Factum, Eduardo Botinelli, explained to the Uruguayan newspaper that this year the situation is “much more complex” due to the “very similar” scenario that exists.
Delgado was interviewed this Wednesday in the newspaper The Country and sent a signal to Forehead Broad. “We need to receive the message from the people and apply it, which is a message of unity. A government of national unity. And that is where a large part of all my concern, my effort, will go: generating conditions for a government of national unity (…). I want to summon it and it’s more: I would like to have Orsi, because I think he has value per se count on him in the next government”, he noted.
In interview with Search, Bears He indicated that “he does not imagine” being part of the cabinet of an eventual government of Delgado and questioned their contradictions. The candidate of Forehead Broad He recalled that his rival said days ago that his government would be similar to that of Alberto Fernandez. “The same day, the same candidate said that I am going to be Alberto Fernández because I am not going to rule. I would never say something like that. We can’t lose the line.”he responded.
