Orsi and Delgado closed their campaigns in an uncertain scenario: analysts believe that the definition could be delayed

The candidate for president of Uruguay for the Frente Amplio, Yamandú Orsi (i), and the official candidate, Álvaro Delgado (d), during their campaign closings towards Sunday’s runoff (@OrsiYamandu/@AlvaroDelgadoUy)

The candidates for president of Uruguaythe official Alvaro Delgado and the opponent Yamandú Orsiheld their campaign closing events this Wednesday for the runoff on Sunday the 24th. His speeches were in a total uncertainty scenario: The pollsters give a slight advantage to the left-wing candidate, but the difference over Delgado is within the margin of error.

Unless there are movements in the electorate at the last minute, The result on Sunday’s election night will take time to know. In Uruguaytradition indicates that around 8:30 p.m. the pollsters announce on private television channels who will be the next president, but it is difficult for this to happen next Sunday.

The director of the consulting firm Cifra, Mariana Pomiesdeclared in The Observer that the scenario for this Sunday is more even than that of the 2019 runoff, when Luis Lacalle For defeated the broad front Daniel Martinez by about 30,000 votes. “It’s more even. With today’s data it is unlikely that it will be possible to announce who will be the president at 8:30 p.m.. But I don’t know what the scenario will be on Sunday. “We are having high volatility among small groups,” said the sociologist. These small groups are the ones that will define the election.

The Uruguayan center-left presidential candidate Yamandú Orsi speaks during his campaign closing ceremony, in Las Piedras, Uruguay (REUTERS/Mariana Greif)
The Uruguayan center-left presidential candidate Yamandú Orsi speaks during his campaign closing ceremony, in Las Piedras, Uruguay (REUTERS/Mariana Greif)

This uncertainty is reflected in the campaign commands of the two candidates. So much Delgado as Bears They are confident that they will win the elections next Sunday, as they declared to the weekly Search. The official considered that there is a “silent majority” who does not express himself with effervescence in the streets, but who at the polls will end up choosing the ballot that takes him to the presidency and the former union member Valeria Ripoll to the vice presidency.

Delgado He pointed out that on Sunday “What he said before the October elections will be repeated”: that there was an “undervaluation” of his vote. Before those elections, none of the pollsters estimated that Delgado would reach 27% of the votes he obtained. “I am absolutely convinced,” Delgado commented.

Center-right Uruguayan presidential candidate Álvaro Delgado attends his campaign closing rally, in Montevideo, Uruguay (REUTERS/Martín Varela Umpierrez)
Center-right Uruguayan presidential candidate Álvaro Delgado attends his campaign closing rally, in Montevideo, Uruguay (REUTERS/Martín Varela Umpierrez)

Yamandu Orsi, meanwhile, said that The result “is open” and “will be open”, but he considered that “the most likely” is the victory of the Frente Amplio. In the left coalition they highlight that all measurements consider that their formula -completed by Carolina Cosse– has an advantage towards the runoff, but they do not consider the election won. In fact, in the organic bodies of the Frente Amplio they believe that it is possible that it will not be known during the first hours of the night who will be the winner.

Repollvice de Delgadoexpressed himself at the campaign closing ceremony in a similar way. “The polls show that it will be an even election and that perhaps we will go to bed a little later on the 24th“,said.

October elections left as a result that none of the blocs will have an absolute majority in Parliament, although the Wide Front yes you will have it in Senate. This means that, whoever the next president is, he will have to get votes from legislators outside his party. For this reason, during this stage of the campaign the presidential candidates tried to show an image of negotiators.

The candidates for the presidency of Uruguay for the ruling National Party, Álvaro Delgado (i), and the opposition Frente Amplio, Yamandú Orsi, during a presidential debate this Sunday the 17th, in Montevideo (Uruguay). (EFE/ Rodrigo Viera Amaral/ APU)
The candidates for the presidency of Uruguay for the ruling National Party, Álvaro Delgado (i), and the opposition Frente Amplio, Yamandú Orsi, during a presidential debate this Sunday the 17th, in Montevideo (Uruguay). (EFE/ Rodrigo Viera Amaral/ APU)

This was so to the point that Delgado raised that he is willing to offer positions in his next government to leaders of the Wide Front and even maintained that he would like to have Bears. “We are clear about what needs to be done. Seek, more majorities, agreements. But if in the Frente Amplio there is no will to change the chip from confrontation to cooperation, Uruguayans, rest assured that we are going to govern the same way,” Delgado said in his speech.

BearsMeanwhile, he said at the event in Las Piedras that his party has the “majorities necessary to govern”. He indicated that he will work to seek agreements and, mainly, with a “firm and decisive” attitude to take charge of the country.

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