The illegal re-election of Nicolas Maduro as president of Venezuelascheduled to take place on January 10, generates concern in the international community, the Venezuelan opposition and experts in immigration policy. They warn that this scenario could unleash a new wave of migration from Venezuela, which in recent years has seen more than eight million of its citizens.
Opposition leaders like Maria Corina Machado and international analysts such as Miguel Rodríguez Mackay y Ramiro Escobar They highlight that conditions in the country could intensify the humanitarian crisis in the region.
The National Electoral Council of Venezuela declared Nicolas Maduro winner of the July 28 elections, a result denounced as fraudulent by the Democratic Unitary Platform (PUD), the main opposition coalition. According to Maria Corina Machado“Maduro is not going to leave alone, we must make him leave with the strength of a people that never gives up.” Machado, in clandestinity, has summoned massive mobilizations on January 9 as a show of resistance.
Meanwhile, Edmundo González Urrutiawhom the opposition considers the legitimate winner, is in a international tour in search of recognition and political support. However, his return to Venezuela faces serious difficulties: “If he returns, he will be arrested immediately and taken to Ramo Verde, Nicolás Maduro’s prison,” highlighted the former foreign minister. Miguel Rodríguez Mackay in dialogue with Infobae Peru.
Specialists agree that the Maduro’s re-election will exacerbate Venezuelan migration. Rodríguez Mackay explained that migration will be “progressively upward” and pointed out that this phenomenon will not stop as long as conditions in the country do not radically change.
Ramiro Escobaranother key analyst on the subject, added details about the migration dynamics for this medium: Although the economic precariousness in Venezuela has improved slightly, it is not enough to avoid an exodus.
Furthermore, Escobar pointed out that Maduro has tried to project a false image of economic stability to stop migration. It is true that the dollar has been liberalized and there are more investments, but we are not facing a bonanza. Venezuela remains a deeply precarious country, and the improvements that Maduro advertises are superficial and limited, he explained.
The former ambassador spoke along the same lines Hugo de Zela. “If Maduro assumes power, this migratory wave is going to occur anyway, and that does not depend on what Peru does or does not do. It’s inevitable. It will be necessary to reinforce security and surveillance at the borders,” he said in dialogue with Perú 21.
The Venezuelan opposition Maria Corina Machado Last December, he alerted the Brazilian Congress of a new migratory wave and greater repression in Venezuela if President Nicolás Maduro assumes a new mandate on January 10.
Miguel Rodríguez Mackay and Ramiro Escobar agree that the solution for Venezuela requires both internal actions and concerted international strategies.
According to Rodríguez Mackayany change must come from the very bowels of the Venezuelan system, specifically from the military sector, which until now has kept Nicolás Maduro in power.
In addition, he highlighted the importance of revitalizing the defunct Lima Group as a regional coordination platform to pressure the regime and facilitate the return to democracy. “Peru, along with other countries on the continent, can lead this effort without ideologies, using the OAS letter as a legitimate tool of action,” he added.
He warned that one should not appeal to Inter-American Democratic Chartersince this only applies in democracies at risk, while in Venezuela there is no democracy to protect, but rather an authoritarian regime that must be dismantled.
For his part, Ramiro Escobar proposed an exit based on regional negotiation. He considers that important countries in Latin America, such as Brazil, should lead a diplomatic effort to promote political change in Venezuela.
And a type exit Syria? “A scenario similar to that in Syria, where a series of forces managed to overthrow the president, I think is ruled out because, to begin with, in Venezuela There is no armed group in action, at least not in as organized and diverse a way as in Syria. Therefore, I do not consider that a Syria-type scenario will occur,” he said.
While all this is happening, Maria Corina Machado He called on “everyone” to take to the streets of Venezuela and the world on January 9, one day before the presidential inauguration, which so much Nicolas Maduro as the anti-Chavista leader Edmundo González Urrutia promise to assume.
